Showing posts with label Elections. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Elections. Show all posts

Wednesday, October 28, 2009

Zone 2- Africa: Micro Analysis- 'Botswana: Challenging the African Stereotype?W # 89 Dated 11th-17th Oct. 09’

General elections were held in Botswana on 16th October 2009.These were the 10th general elections held since Botswana's independence in 1966, a nation accredited with a history of smooth, periodic elections. The ruling Botswana Democratic Party (BDP) led by President Seretse Khama Ian Khama was re-elected for the next five years with 45 out of a total of 57 parliamentary seats and representing a 53.26 percent of the popular vote, according the Independent Electoral Commission. The BDP has not lost an election since independence in 1966.
The nation is a parliamentary republic and follows a system of Single member plurality, first-past-the-post system multiparty elections. President is elected by each newly elected National Assembly. The phenomenon of limited presidential terms is a new one to Botswana, having been promulgated in the mid 1990s, through which Opposition MP Dumelang Saleshando opined Festus Mogae, the president before Ian Khama, did set a good precedent for the nation.
A group of observers from Southern African Development Community (SADC) Election Observer Mission (SEOM) said the elections were conducted in compliance with the SADC Principles and Guidelines. They further noted that a massive voter registration exercise was conducted in the run up to the election. A record 725 000 people registered to vote and the turnout was largely attributed to voter education by the Independent Electoral Commission IEC and other civic groups including the media. First time voters constituted nearly 30% of the registration indicating an unprecedented interest in elections by the youth of Botswana.
Mr. Khama, The son of Botswana's first president joined politics after a military career and was directly nominated by his predecessor. He is credited with being decisive, but also criticized for being dogmatic. Despite Splits within the president's party, a victory was still forecast since the opposition was believed to be equally fractured.
While there were complaints that the state media, particularly the Botswana Television, was biased towards the ruling party, observers reported that there were attempts to ensure that the station covered all events of the contesting parties without bias.
Botswana, one of Africa's most stable countries, is the continent's longest continuous multi-party democracy. It is relatively free of corruption and has a relatively good human rights record. An economy heavily dependent on diamond trade the recent elections were held amid a deep recession. Botswana's over-dependence on diamonds for its export earnings and tax revenues, as well as jobs and human rights were all major issues that the political parties rallied on.
Critics maintain that Botswana’s immaculate achievement at a macro-economic level has for a long time been accompanied by high levels of unemployment, unacceptable levels of poverty and gross inequalities. A key problem area is over-reliance on the mineral sector, in particular diamonds.
The opposition MP Saleshando believes that despite Botswana’s thriving liberal democracy, the political institutions necessary for providing effective checks and balances are weak in Botswana. Moreover the presidency controls all levers of power while the legislative agenda is set by the executive and parliamentary staff is recruited and deployed as desired by the presidency. Hence despite being widely lauded for its democratic tradition critics still maintain that Botswana is in a highly precarious economic situation with under-developed political institutions that need to be modernized. The nation’s tangible pride in its functional system of governance in a continent rift with stereotypes is however quite apparent.

Discussion Questions:

· Is the Botswana model despite its skewed economic stability through excessive dependence on the diamond industry, still a feasible fit for Africa at large?

· Despite international praise for its success at the polls does the opposition’s claim regarding underdeveloped institutions portray a pseudo democracy in Botswana?

Sources/Related Links
http://allafrica.com/stories/200910231087.html
http://www.thezimbabwean.co.uk/2009102225867/african-perspectives/botswana-general-election-report-2009.html
http://www.mmegi.bw/index.php?sid=2&aid=175&dir=2009/October/Friday9
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/8309573.stm
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/country_profiles/1068674.stm
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/7297013.stm
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/7297374.stm https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/bc.html
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Business and Politics in the Muslim World (BPM)refers to the project entitled, "Globalized Business and Politics: A View from the Muslim World.' The blog development project has been undertaken and jointly developed by the Gilani Research Foundation and BPM as a free resource and social discussion tool.

Wednesday, October 14, 2009

Zone 2- Africa- Micro Analysis-Violence in Guinea- Military Dictatorship, a vicious cycle?- Week # 85-87, Dated 13th Sept- 3rd Oct. 09'

Human rights groups reported at least 157 opposition supporters dead and around 1200 injured after Guinea's troops opened fire on a mass protest in Guinea last week. On September 28th Opposition parties organized the demonstration amid speculation that Moussa Dadis Camara, the country's military leader, would stand in the forthcoming elections. Camara, who has not yet formally announced his intention to contest the January 31 poll, said that the killings were beyond his control.

The protests against Camara's candidature were brutally crushed by the military forces and have invited international condemnation and human rights uproar. The loss of discipline by the military that even the premier claims out of his control, perpetuated a violent assault on human rights in Guinea. The violence was censured by France, Guinea’s former colonizers, at the United Nations as well as by the African Union, where sanctions were already in effect by the latter organization.

Camara, who came to power in a coup on 23 December last year, initially promised to organize elections but has since signaled he has not ruled out running. The military leader had pledged not to stand for the presidency when he seized power after the death of Lasana Conte, the president, essentially considered a military dictator in civilian guise. Camara has reportedly changed his tune proclaiming it his ‘right’ to contest.

Guinea has had a history of authoritarian rule since gaining its independence from France in 1958. Declining economic conditions and popular dissatisfaction with corruption and bad governance prompted two massive strikes in 2006, and a third nationwide strike in early 2007. This latest crackdown has been termed by the Human Rights Watch as "shocking even by the abusive standards of Guinea's coup government".

The destabilizing turn of events in the region follows a history of military dictatorships where even the latest coup, according to analysts, enjoyed popular support initially. However the rising dissatisfaction amongst the nationals has arisen in what is deemed to be a breach of a tacit agreement between the military and civil forces, which had hence far kept Camara in power.

The language of military dictatorships seems to share commonalities world wide as to their conflict of legitimacy. Where international pressures seem to be heeded in similar scenarios in Latin America (the recent Honduran case) or the Asian region (Pakistan being a case in point), the extent of efficacy of these measures in Africa seems puny. The crisis in Guinea continues, and despite efforts at resolution many fear the vicious cycle of dictatorship will continue.

Discussion Questions:

· Would you agree that the military dictatorships in Africa continue to function in relative isolation from international pressures? Why or why not?

· To what extent do strategic interests, for example the possibility of oil development in the region figure in determining the course of Guinea’s political future?

· Under notions of a continent that is defying its stereotypes- does the continued existence of such stunted political systems deem Africa's progress as marginal?

Related Links/Bibliography

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/8280603.stm
http://english.aljazeera.net/news/africa/2009/09/200992981337765437.html
https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/gv.html

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Business and Politics in the Muslim World (BPM)refers to the project entitled, "Globalized Business and Politics: A View from the Muslim World.' The blog development project has been undertaken and jointly developed by the Gilani Research Foundation and BPM as a free resource and social discussion tool.